Following a long hiatus, I can only confirm that, globally, the vast majority have yet to even begin to realize our predicament.
My timeline for the final denouement was wrong obviously. But everything that was clearly shaping up fifteen years ago, has, in large part, come to pass and, today, fires are raging everywhere in politics, society and the economy.
We are now only awaiting the flashover.
Let’s start at the beginning; the theme of this blog. Very succinctly.
Within the context of a debt based monetary system that is at once, arbitrary AND imposed by law, the end is dialled in. The only variable is time.
In this context, what is referred to as “democracy” can only result in the bankruptcy of the system.
Debt conforms to the law of diminishing returns. Ergo, the quantity of debt required to obtain a given result, increases exponentially. Exponential dynamics eventually go critical.
Since George Washington and the inception of the USA, the modern Western monetary system entered the critical phase in 2009:
Total US debt: (Trillions have 12 zeros)
2009: $5.8Trillion
2017: $11.9Trillion
2023: $34Trillion
In other words:
It took 200 years for the USA to accumulate debt worth $5.8Trillion
It took 8 years for the USA to double that amount to $11.9Trillion
It took 5 years to triple it to $34Trillion
The USA has accomplished this feat by subsuming other economies along the way. On its way to becoming the global hegemon, countries around the world tied their fates to the US$ and used the USA as a safe haven for their financial affairs.
From the arithmetical point of view however, there is no difference between the monetary management as practiced by Mugabe in Zimbabwe vs that practiced by the USA. The arithmetic is exactly the same. The only difference is scale, thus time.
Mugabe was never able to entice other countries to adopt his money. In contrast, the USA has a global reach. Much bigger scale, much longer lead times. Same result.
In a debt based monetary system that is imposed by the force of law, the increasing amounts of outlays required to service the debt have direct consequences at all levels; political, economic, health and cultural.
Exponential dynamics run into inflection points. These are junctures in the dynamic where something changes drastically and suddenly, and the progression enters a new, more acute, phase.
Inflection points manifest as crisis.
Regardless of whether a crisis is genuine or manufactured, it is an inflection point that is exploited in an attempt at perpetuating the status quo. This is because the individuals at the heart of the system do not wish their lives and their power base to implode.
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This is the reason that when debt goes critical, a number of things become gradually more evident and scandals become not only more frequent but also more egregious, perverse and blatant.
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This is how it works.
Addendum – dynamic editing as of February 22nd, 2024
In a debt based monetary system, the sums required to service the debt increase exponentially. As debt service becomes more cumbersome, more fiscal income must be generated.
This is has many ramifications.
On one hand, greater fiscal pressure drives business and industry away to other countries. In time, therefore, not only does the fiscal burden fall ever more on the shoulders of small business and individuals but a number of other unpleasant realities develop in order to support the expanding fiscal needs of the state.
Financialization of the economy – As labor and capital intensive industries are pushed to other countries to seek lower operation costs, the activity that used to take place in their home country is replaced by financial gimmickry. The poster child of this strategy was General Motors that for many years was unable to generate a profit from their core activity but largely compensated this through their financing arm GMAC which, in turn, imploded spectacularly during the GFC of 2008.
Picking champions – As the fiscal health of the state deteriorates, the system requires allies in the form of “champions” that will support the construct politically and, therefore, economically. Hence the reason why in order to satisfy certain preferred political outcomes, certain corporations are picked as champions to be supported despite the fact they are not economically viable. GM was certainly a typical case in point but, like it, there were many others like American Airlines for example.
The strengthening or rise of ostensible “civic” or “democratic” institutions – As the general population and business must be more forcefully coerced to provide income to the state, their activities must progressively become more regulated and regimented. This is brought about by the creation of narratives and the fostering of corporate structures that are disguised as civic or even private institutions but that are, in fact, vehicles designed to facilitate and protect the business of corporate champions both domestically and in far away lands. The main stream press is the typical example of this process at work. If you wonder how it is possible that news outlets around the world, despite differences in language and national priorities, appear to sing from the same hymn book, you are witnessing this process at work. Although more obscure but nonetheless immensely powerful, amongst the legions of institutions and systems of dubious democratic value, I note here the international Investor State Dispute Settlement system which may help explain a few things. Here I am forced to note too that NGOs and the UN are not what they purport to be either.
Further to all of the above, this process goes hand in hand with the simultaneous creation and fostering of a runaway security apparatus in the form of secret entities that, due to the restrictions inherent in democratic structures, must, inevitably, distance themselves from the control of the civilian government.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/top-secret-america/2010/07/19/hidden-world-growing-beyond-control-2/
The inexorable expansion of the security apparatus engenders the rise to positions of power of those individuals that are morally and financially compromised, in government, in agencies and in business. Eventually, it is the security apparatus that dictates foreign policy and, in time, domestic policy.
The war in Syria was a particular case in point where the US State Department and the CIA were often on opposing sides of the conflict, sometimes even shooting at each other.
The fiscal health of the hegemon deteriorates at the same rate that title to property, wealth and power accumulate in the hands of the business, political and security elites.
Just in the recent past for example, the sacking and pillaging of Iraq was not a coincidence.
The sacking and pillaging of Afghanistan was not a coincidence.
The sacking and pillaging of Syria and Libya were not coincidences.
The Great Financial Crisis was not inevitable and the resolution did not have to involve public funds.
What these events all have in common is that vast sums of public money were redistributed to certain individuals and entities with no accountability required. The object is never to “win” a war or to “solve” a crisis. The goal is merely to churn credit and redistribute vast sums of money.
This is just one example amongst many.
The Inspector General Report that is published yearly is damning. Trillions US$ cannot be accounted for just in Iraq.
The Special Inspector General Afghanistan Reconstruction’s report is just as bad as it details Trillions more that cannot be accounted for.
The forensic analysis of the Great Financial Crisis clearly indicates that public funds were, at best, misallocated on nothing but numbers plucked from thin air by individuals that had been appointed to office on the spur of the moment.
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The gradual corruption of the system is brought about by compromising certain individuals that are then aided in rising to positions of power. Compromising men and women that are then shoehorned into positions of power, always takes the same form: money and sex.
Jeffrey Epstein, Jimmy Saville, pedophilia in the church, the department of child services in the USA, the UN”s questionable role around the world, the Dutroux Affair in Belgium, Boys Town in Franklin Nebraska and the thousands of migrant children that go missing every year, are not coincidences.
The money laundering scandals that periodically shake the banking industry are not coincidences. The fact that land under cultivation for the production of opium in Afghanistan increased from 2000Ha in 2003 to 360000Ha in 2016, is not a coincidence. The fact that MF Capital should have pilfered US$3B and the CEO John Corazine should have never seen a day in jail, is not a coincidence.
The thorough corruption of the health and medical establishments are not coincidences.
The intellectually and medically obtuse response to Covid was as scientifically wrong as it was deliberately perverse and the Trillions of public funds that have been misallocated during this manufactured tragedy are not coincidences.
The fact that the EU should have run through a 7 year budget in 2 years is also not a coincidence.
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Everything begins and ends with the fiscal health of the hegemon. It was so for the Persians, the Greeks, the Romans, the French, the British and, today, the USA.
Few will remember what happened on September 10th, 2001. This was the day when then Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfled announced that the Pentagon could not account for US$2.3Trillion.
Back in 2001, the word Trillion was unfathomable for most people. At the time, US$2T was the equivalent of 25%US GDP or 40% Europe’s GDP. It was an incomprehensible sum. A Trillion has 12 zeros.
Subsequent to the events of September 11th, 2001 however, the previous’ day announcement never amounted to anything.
2016 was the very first time the Pentagon was audited. “In the sober judgement of the Government Accountability Office (GAO) of the Congress, this vast military budget is year after year UNAUDITABLE” however.
Since 2016, the Pentagon has failed every, single, audit to date and the funds that it cannot account for, range in the dozens of Trillions.
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Similar to the period of the Roman Empire marked by the increasing influence of the Praetorians on domestic and foreign policy, today we have a sprawling security apparatus that when it does not drive domestic and foreign policy, it wields great influence to steer both.
Now! In a “democracy”, if incumbent governments of the left or the right both engage in deficit spending, the result will be the same. The landscape may change somewhat along the way, but the end is dialled in.
Today, “democracy” or elections cannot and will not result in any palpable change that would improve the lot of the many. It is arithmetically impossible.
Arguing about the ostensible merits of left wing or right wing candidates is counterproductive. By and large, those candidates that are allowed to ascend to office, be they exponents of the left or right, are compromised. Candidates that are not compromised and that appear to make headway with the public, will face the full wrath of incumbents in government, the press and, of course, the security apparatus. They will be smeared and maligned and, should they slip through the cracks anyway, evidence of malfeasance will be manufactured in collusion with high level actors and wild accusations will be aired and amplified by the media.
At this stage, arguing over ideology is idiotic. But it is at this stage that pushing ideological narratives guarantees the fracturing of society to the benefit of the security apparatus and the elites in positions of power.
Politics and the “democratic” process have broken down. These mechanisms no longer serve to climb out of this hole.
The problem, our problem, is that the elite are aware they have reached the end of the road. The reaction of the elites, their stratagems, are becoming increasingly perverse and violent.
The ostensible climate emergency, spurious pandemics and the money pit that is Ukraine are the manifestations of a situation that is rapidly spinning out of control leading us to the Flashover.
You cannot make this up: https://www.kyivpost.com/post/26961
It was already clear a decade ago where our bien pensants were planning to take us:
“NATO must prepare to launch operations outside its border after Afghanistan“
So what does this mean for you?
TBC